Fitch Gives 12 National Collegiate Student Loan Trust Transactions ‘Outlook Negative’ Ratings!

As you may or may not know National Collegiate Student Loans is American Education Services which is of course the Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance Agency (PHEAA). All of the National Collegiate Trusts listed below can be found HERE PHEAA’s website and HERE the Irish Stock Exchange.

P.S. Despite Fitch and ‘National Collegiate’s’ assertion that the Loans held or rather owned by the National Collegiate Student Loan Trusts are Private Student Loans…they are NOT! The National Collegiate loans are FEDERAL FFELP LOANS that were FRAUDULENTLY CONSOLIDATED WITHOUT THE BORROWERS KNOWLEDGE OR CONSENT!

If you received federal student loans in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, or 2007 that were or are serviced by American Education Services (AES) then it may be worth your while to look into this!

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Fitch Ratings has affirmed all ratings across 12 National Collegiate Student Loan Trust (NCSLT) transactions.

The affirmations reflect the stable loss coverage multiples of the trusts since Fitch’s last review on Jan. 29, 2010, which continue to reflect high default levels in excess of Fitch’s initial expectations.

In addition, Fitch removes from Rating Watch Negative and subsequently assigns Negative Rating Outlooks to NCSLT 2006-3 through 2007-2 to reflect Fitch’s overall view of the private student loan sector. The Outlook remains Negative on non-distressed ratings in NCSLT 2003-1 through 2006-2. These actions are based upon Fitch’s Global Structured Finance Criteria and U.S. Private Student Loan ABS Criteria.

For each trust, Fitch conducted a review of the collateral performance that involved the calculation of loss coverage multiples based on the most recent variables. A projected net loss amount was compared to available credit enhancement to determine the loss multiples. Fitch used historical vintage loss data provided by the issuer to form a loss timing curve representative of the private student loan collateral pools of each trust. After giving credit for seasoning of loans in repayment, Fitch applied the current cumulative gross loss level to this loss timing curve to derive the expected gross losses over the remaining life for each trust. A recovery rate of 25% was applied, which assumes no further payments from TERI other than the funded pledge accounts.

The available credit enhancement for the trusts consists of excess spread, overcollateralization (if any), and subordination where applicable. Fitch assumed excess spread to be the lesser of the historical average excess spread (earning on the assets minus interest payments to bondholders and fees) and the most recent 12-month average excess spread, and applied that same rate over the remaining life. Given the high default forecasts relative to the remaining pool balance, the multiples were compressed to achieve through-the-cycle rating stability.

Fitch has affirmed the following classes:

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2003-1:
–Class A-6 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-7 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B-1 at ‘Csf’;
–Class B-2 at ‘Csf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2004-1:
–Class A-2 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO-2 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B-1 at ‘Csf’;
–Class B-2 at ‘Csf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2004-2/NCF Grantor Trust 2004-2:
–Class A-3 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 1 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 2 at ‘BBB+sf; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
Class C at ‘CCCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2005-1/NCF Grantor Trust 2005-1:
–Class A-2 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 1 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 2 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative’;
–Class C at ‘CCsf‘.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2005-2/NCF Grantor Trust 2005-2:
–Class A-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBB-’sf; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5-1 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘B+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘CCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2005-3/NCF Grantor Trust 2005-3:
–Class A-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5-1 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO-1 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at to ‘CCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-1:
–Class A-2 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘B+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘CCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-2:
Class A-1 at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-2 at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A- at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘CCCsf’;
–Class C at ‘CCsf’.

Fitch has removed from Rating Watch Negative, affirmed, and assigned Outlooks to the following classes as indicated:

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-3:
–Class A-2 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-5 at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BB+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘B+sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class D at ‘CCCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-4:
–Class A-1 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-2 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘Bsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class D at ‘CCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-1:
–Class A-1 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-2 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘Bsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class D at ‘CCsf’.

National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-2:
–Class A-1 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-2 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-3 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-4 at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class A-IO at ‘BBBsf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class B at ‘BBB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class C at ‘BB-sf’; Outlook Negative;
–Class D at ‘CCCsf’.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

–’Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria’, dated Aug. 13, 2010;
–’U.S. Private Student Loan Criteria’, dated Aug. 24, 2009;
–’Rating US Federal Family Education Loan Program Student Loan ABS’, dated April 11, 2008;
–’Fitch to Begin Review of U.S. FFELP SLABS Applying Updated Criteria’, dated June 29, 2010;
–’Fitch to Gauge Basis Risk in Auction-Rate U.S. FFELP SLABS Review’, dated Sept. 22, 2010.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=547326
U.S. Private Student Loan ABS Criteria
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=463174
Rating US Federal Family Education Loan Program Student Loan ABS Criteria
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=382306

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY’S PUBLIC WEBSITE ‘WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM‘. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH’S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE ‘CODE OF CONDUCT’ SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Emily Lee, +1-212-908-0667
Director
One State Street Plaza
New York, NY 10004
or
Committee Chairperson
Cynthia Ullrich, +1-212-908-0609
Senior Director
or
Media Relations:
Brian Bertsch, New York, +1-212-908-0549
brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com

About these ads

Leave a comment

Filed under 9.5 percent, 9.5 percent SAP, American Education Services, federal direct loans, federal financial aid, FFELP, for-profit colleges, for-profit schools, fraud, higher education, muni bond fraud, muni bond probe, municipal bonds, PHEAA, PLUS, Stafford, student loan lenders, student loan program, student loan scandal, student loans, Uncategorized

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s